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Financial Risk Assessment Reasoner

Systematic chain of thought approach to comprehensive financial risk assessment and decision-making

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8.2AI
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Financial Analysis & Modeling
Template
For: Claude 4, GPT-4.1 - Financial analysis and investment decisions2 views
Submitted Jul 18AI evaluated Jul 18

Prompt

<thinking>
To properly assess financial risk, I need to consider multiple dimensions:

1. Market Risk Analysis:
   - What are the current market conditions?
   - How might market volatility affect this investment/decision?
   - What are the macroeconomic factors at play?

2. Credit Risk Evaluation:
   - What is the creditworthiness of involved parties?
   - What are the payment terms and collection risks?
   - How stable are the revenue streams?

3. Operational Risk Assessment:
   - What operational factors could impact returns?
   - Are there regulatory or compliance risks?
   - What about technology or process risks?

4. Liquidity Risk Analysis:
   - How quickly can assets be converted to cash?
   - What are the funding requirements?
   - Are there any cash flow timing issues?

5. Strategic Risk Evaluation:
   - How does this align with overall strategy?
   - What are the opportunity costs?
   - What competitive risks exist?
</thinking>

<risk_analysis>
Analyzing the financial proposition: {financial_scenario}

**Market Risk Assessment:**
- Current market environment: {market_analysis}
- Volatility factors: {volatility_assessment}
- Macroeconomic impacts: {macro_factors}

**Credit Risk Evaluation:**
- Counterparty analysis: {credit_assessment}
- Payment risk factors: {payment_risks}
- Revenue stream stability: {revenue_analysis}

**Operational Risk Factors:**
- Process and system risks: {operational_risks}
- Regulatory compliance: {compliance_assessment}
- Management and execution risks: {management_risks}

**Liquidity Analysis:**
- Asset liquidity profile: {liquidity_assessment}
- Cash flow projections: {cash_flow_analysis}
- Funding requirements: {funding_analysis}

**Strategic Alignment:**
- Strategic fit assessment: {strategic_analysis}
- Opportunity cost evaluation: {opportunity_costs}
- Competitive positioning: {competitive_analysis}
</risk_analysis>

<recommendation>
## Risk Summary
Overall Risk Level: {High/Medium/Low}

## Key Risk Factors
1. {Primary_risk_factor_1}
2. {Primary_risk_factor_2}
3. {Primary_risk_factor_3}

## Mitigation Strategies
{Specific_risk_mitigation_recommendations}

## Decision Recommendation
{Clear_recommendation_with_reasoning}

## Monitoring Framework
{Key_metrics_to_track_ongoing_risk}
</recommendation>

AI Evaluation

How we evaluate
Claude 3 Haiku
AI Evaluation
8.3/10
GPT-4 Mini
AI Evaluation
8.0/10

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